Italy has a population of 60 million
And currently, just over 800 confirmed cases of COVID-19. So at the point around 1/10,000 of the Italian population became infected with SARS-CoV-2, Italian hospitals, according to this report, were "overwhelmed".
Estes Park has a population of 6500 in the winter. Our local hospital has staffing for 15 beds. Using the Italian fraction, our hospital will be overwhelmed by one case. Our local newspapers will probably not alert us to the fact that Estes Park has one positive among its population until weeks after the fact, but just drive past the hospital every day, and look for the overwhelmingness.
Let's be extra, extra careful out there.
Estes Park has a population of 6500 in the winter. Our local hospital has staffing for 15 beds. Using the Italian fraction, our hospital will be overwhelmed by one case. Our local newspapers will probably not alert us to the fact that Estes Park has one positive among its population until weeks after the fact, but just drive past the hospital every day, and look for the overwhelmingness.
Let's be extra, extra careful out there.
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